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Professor
Paul Younger, a native of the North East of England,
started by reminding everyone that the North East
had been the birthplace of the Industrial Revolution
and also the global birthplace of carboniferous
capitalism – the coal-based energy economy.
Ironically,
the coal-based economy was originally driven by
renewable energy - starting in 1672 with a series of
water wheels to drain a mine. In many ways this area
is still at the forefront of energy production and
development.
Some
say it has a bigger carbon footprint per capita than
other regions but that is only true if you add in
all the industries which are still used to support
the rest of the country. As regards domestic
consumption it has a smaller carbon footprint than
most other regions. The NE has more industry than
other regions, particularly in the energy field, and
the benefit of this will be apparent in the near
future; almost uniquely in England, our region is in
a reasonable position to survive what is coming. It
has the UK’s largest biomass plant, the largest
bio-diesel plant and is constructing the largest
bio-ethanol plant. The photovoltaic [PV] activity
has grown because of the local history in glass. At
Romag in Consett there is one of the largest PV
production lines in Europe producing the largest
architectural PV modules in the world. Hydrogen is
something for the future. In the Tees Valley there
is an extensive storage and distribution grid – 26
km
of distribution
pipelines and 1000 tonnes storage capacity in a
densely populated area which has been in operation
safely for 60 years. If there is to be a hydrogen
economy the NE is in pole position.
Paul Younger
is also leader of Energy Research NE England [ERNEE]
a consortium of 3 Universities, Newcastle,
Northumbria and Durham, the New and Renewable Energy
Centre [NaREC] in Northumberland and the Centre for
Process Innovation [CPI] at Wilton in the Tees
Valley.
The NE has a major
high-voltage testing lab, fuel cell development
facilities, expertise at transportation and reducing
emissions, work on new devices and whole system
applications for PVs and a wind and wave energy
research centre.
Paul Younger’s own
institute is named after Sir Joseph Swan of local
fame who invented the light-bulb – Edison had to buy
his patents. Swan also invented the cellular lead
plate for batteries.
Eastgate
Borehole in Weardale is the first geothermal
exploration borehole in the UK for more than 20
years
passing through boulder
clay, sedimentary strata and Whin Sill to reach the
radiothermal Weardale Granite. Groundwater in
fractures in the granite is far warmer than would
usually be the case at these depths and plans are
well advanced to use the heat to support a small
leisure development. It will be used for a spa
development and for district heating - and perhaps
electricity in the future - for a new ‘renewable’
model village.
It is believed there is
potential in the area for further similar
developments
Regarding climate change Professor
Younger says the time for talking is over. In 2002
he published a paper with European colleagues on
major water systems in Europe and their sensitivity
to climate change. The work was done in the mid
nineties when transient Global Circulation Models
were unavailable. Interpolations were made from
results from simpler steady state models which would
simulate the annual climate patterns on the planet
for given CO2 concentrations Three scenarios had
been considered – worst, medium and best cases. It
is now evident that the worst case scenario has been
experienced in the real world.
Paul Younger
highlighted a tendency amongst many leading
politicians and their advisors [whom he dubbed “the
Technophiles”], to place all their faith in the
ability of future technologies to solve the climate
change problem, while unlimited economic growth
continues unhindered. The necessity of addressing
social and cultural barriers to climate change
adaptation are barely considered, let alone the
ultimate unasked question about limits to growth,
which fast-dwindling, non-renewable resources are
making ever more pressing. The favourite fixes of
the technophiles are nuclear, carbon capture and
storage and distributed micro-generation.
Let us consider the
different technologies.
Nuclear
Energy
The ore resources globally are limited. At
current consumption rates, there is enough for 50
years at most but with world-wide plans for
increasing production this will shorten
dramatically.
Also,
the carbon emissions from mining, processing and
transport of uranium are greater than for coal. As
the UK has no ore the carbon emissions involved will
be the responsibility of another country;
outsourcing our carbon emissions make it attractive
to government.
There are other issues
around such as nuclear waste; geology is an
‘observation science’ and we cannot do forward
looking experiments, eg into the next glaciation
phase.
Carbon
Capture and Storage is much vaunted but
there are some problems. The current technology is
at low temperatures [using amines], is extremely
expensive and has only been done in isolated oil and
gas fields to get a source of carbon dioxide for
enhanced oil recovery. A different technology is
required. So far there is no economic large-scale
higher temperature method of CO2
separation and we need
to capture CO2 before the final burn.
We have thought of ways
of doing this but so far it has not been proven.
None of them are ‘market ready’.
Transmission of CO2 is
another problem especially from inland areas such as
the Midlands – pressure and temperature issues etc.
The technical problems probably can be solved but it
will be costly; there are also wayleaves - charges
and permission for crossing the land en route. If
the product in the pipe is going to be for sale [eg
gas], the money will be available but waste is a
different matter. The Professor’s background in
ground-water engineering causes him to be concerned
about storage. The enthusiasm of oil companies is
self-serving as they want to use the CO2 to enhance
oil recovery but there are huge hydraulic problems.
The areas from which the oil and gas has been taken
were already ‘tight’ formations but after the oil
and gas have been removed they have been compacted
and are even tighter and less permeable than they
were originally and significantly less permeable
than he was used to squeezing water into on land
sites.
The
issues have been largely ignored or brushed over.
They need thinking about. He is concerned about CCS
at least in depleted oil and gas reservoirs.
Distributed Micro-generation
sounds great, but
connecting power sources to the distribution end of
networks has problems. He used the analogy of
catching rainwater and trying to feed any you didn’t
want back into the mains.
The gradient is against
you. However with energy, it can work at ‘hobby’
levels. The planning situation is in a mess with the
visual situation considered first. Changing planning
restrictions has been mooted but is yet to happen..
Ground
Source Heating and Cooling Systems. [GSHCS]
In many ways this technology’s time has arrived. It
is an increasingly popular option for space heating
and cooling for domestic and public commercial
buildings. It has many advantages - low
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carbon
emissions and no measurable emissions of any other
sort and if you use green electricity to drive the
system it can be a zero carbon emission technology.
However, it too can have problems.
If these are installed
too close together it can lead to permafrost and
perhaps destroy foundations. Building regulations
now have an obligation for 10% renewables and GSHCS
have less planning restrictions, visibility and cost
than other options.[eg solar panels] A map of
open-loop systems in London showed there is already
interference and these systems will fail and not be
‘renewable’ but just an expensive heating system.
The people involved have been told clearly that
these systems will fail in three years and why this
will happen but either they do not understand the
science or perhaps do not want to know.
Coal
Talking about coal may seem backward looking -
is
it the bete noir or is it the best bet?
How much fossil fuel is
left?
North Sea oil and gas
passed its peak production in 1999.
We are now certain that
global peak production will fall between 2017 and
2021. Oil will be substantially exhausted by 2050
and gas by 2070.
Coal reserves, however,
will last at least until 2200 and in the UK there is
enough until 2600.
Prices of gas
and oil are going up and will continue to increase
and production rates will fall. Globally, we now
have ‘a dash for coal’ which started in 1999-2000.
Currently there are two proposals for cleaner coal
power stations at the coast in the NE. At Blyth a
RWE npower
– 2.4 GW supercritical
boiler plant which will be ‘CCS ready’ and in the
Tees Valley – coastal energy 8000MW IGCC plant with
CCS. Both will rely on imported coal but many such
imports are from countries with poor health and
safety mining regulations and death rates similar to
the UK in the 1920s.
There is a moral issue
here but also one of security of supply. Fortunately
the UK still has substantial coal resources in the
NE and off Lincolnshire and Norfolk.
Although we have mined
more coal than anyone else for 400 years, we have
abstracted only ¼ so far and that was largely
exported from our region.
So is it
realistic to think of using our coal resources?
There are many ways of doing this.
Prof. Younger briefly
looked at coal bed methane which is already under
development in Scotland. We drill into previously
un-mined seams, pump out the ground water to below
the seams and methane comes out naturally.
This is the gas that
used to cause explosions. This method is used in
other parts of the world but we have so far ignored
it although there are extensive resources. It is
much cleaner than burning coal.
You still get CO2
but
it is only a fraction of the amount
you
get from burning coal.
The other one
Prof. Younger looked at briefly is underground coal
gasification. The UK paid one quarter of the cost of
a trail in Spain in the mid 1990s which was very
successful, as we now know how to do it. It involves
drilling two wells, approximately 100 metres
apart, down to the seam and then steered drilling in
the seam until the two wells nearly meet. We put in
a control retractable injection point and inject
steam and either oxygen or air, preferably oxygen.
The whole seam is gasified. Gasification means
partially oxidising the coal to produce a gas that
still has a calorific value – usually about 80% of
the original energy in the coal. The gas passes from
the production well to the power station. A void
will have been created where the seam used to be and
this is a far better prospect for storing the CO2
arising than trying to squeeze it into natural
formations. We have been discussing doing this at a
depth of 1000 metres or more – a long way down.
Basically we have the possibility from our
production well to separate the CO2
before
we
use the rest of the
calorific value in the gas to produce electricity.
We can also obtain more CO2 later if we
want to - it will depend on the cost of the
technologies. The possibility is also there to
inject the CO2
back into the voids. The
gas produced is called syngas – a mixture of
hydrogen, carbon monoxide, methane and carbon
dioxide. This system could make a huge difference.
We have the resources to
do this, but do we have the will?
Sustainability to Paul Younger simply means
inter-generational justice.
‘Sustainable development
meets the needs of the present generation without
compromising the ability of future generations to
meet their needs’. [Brundtland Report 1992]
The question is how can
finite resources ever fit into this concept? Am I
right to talk about using coal? We have sufficient
coal for hundreds of years but it will run out
eventually. How can I justify using coal?
I would say only if the
energy is used prudently to unlock better energy
technologies for the future and only if we can use
it to buy a sustainable future so that future
generations can have a sustainable energy economy.
That is the only morally
defensible way to use finite resources such as coal,
uranium and gas.
Concentrated Solar Power is one of the ideas
for the future. This uses loads of reflectors and is
either PV [photovoltaic] producing electricity
direct or using mirrors to heat water which then
runs a conventional steam turbine. A slide showed a
solar energy plant in Spain which produces 11MW with
a capacity factor of at best 50% [the amount of time
it could function]
which would supply power
for about 6000 homes
and the proposed
plant at Blyth which
would provide 2400 MW with a capacity factor of 75%.
Both would cover a similar ground area. However the
steel, pipework and glass for solar arrays and
transmission cables need power for their production
and for this I think we will need the use of fossil
fuels.
There is a very ‘sobering’ book
written by Ted Trainer Renewable Energy Cannot
Sustain a Consumer Society, published by
Springer. Ted Trainer is a renewables
enthusiast and he set out to demonstrate that
renewable energy could fulfil all the demands of a
consumer society by looking carefully at resources,
current technologies and reasonably anticipatable
future renewable technology but he found it
couldn’t. The crucial points were the efficiency of
converting technologies and the patchiness of
resources. Professor Younger quoted Mahatma Gandhi
“The world has enough for everyone’s need but not
for everyone’s greed”.
We must move
to renewable sources of energy but it has to be
accompanied by a parallel change in how we organise
society. We must have at least as great a moral
revolution in how we behave as human beings as we
must have a technological revolution. A sustainable
future may be possible, getting there without fossil
fuels isn’t.
We should have used
revenue from our North Sea oil and gas to develop
new sustainable technologies but we wasted that
opportunity. It is my fervent prayer and indeed
crusade that we will use our remaining coal reserves
wisely to pave the way to future renewable energies
where we maximise the use of solar, wind, hydro,
biomass and geothermal energy.
My answer to the
technophiles is that unless we have an equivalent
ethical and moral development, no amount of
technological development is going to be sufficient.
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